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Gold corrections are not warnings, they are opportunities for long-term investors, says Chirag Mehta- Moneycontrol.com

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Recent gold price dip seen as a long-term investment opportunity

In Indian households, gold has always been a symbol of emotional security. As Akshaya Tritiya 2026 approaches, the familiar glimmer of gold once again captures India.

But over the last two decades, something subtle has shifted. As Indians have become financially savvy, they have begun to see gold differently. They understand it not just as an heirloom, but as a portfolio component.

Yet this year, there’s a new question threading through these conversations: With gold at such elevated levels, how do we continue the tradition of investing in the precious metal in a practical way?

The 2026 challenge

The remarkable rally in gold prices over the past year has created an unprecedented situation. Gold has reached levels that would have seemed unimaginable just a few years ago, crossing Rs 1.88 lakh per 10 grams in early 2026 and now at Rs 1.50 lakh per 10 grams.

For an average Indian household, this has created a dilemma: How do we honor the tradition when the quantities we could previously afford now represent a significant portion of our savings?

We have heard this before, when gold reached Rs. 20,000 or 50,000 or Rs. 1,00,000. This is where the conversation needs to evolve. Tradition does not demand a specific quantity of gold. It demands the intention, the belief that what you acquire on this day will endure.

What can be your approach?

As Akshaya Tritiya 2026 approaches, many reflect not just on whether to buy gold, but also on how to buy it in a way that aligns with their personal preferences, cultural values, and investment objectives. For those seeking discipline and efficiency, gold ETFs offer a structured way to gain exposure to gold within a diversified portfolio.

Unlike physical jewellery, which is typically 22-karat or lower, gold ETFs are generally backed by 24-karat physical gold, which means the investment tracks the value of gold closely. Since they trade on stock exchanges, gold ETFs do not attract making charges or fabrication premiums. They are available in small denominations, making them accessible across investment sizes.

As gold ETFs track the price of the metal, the returns reflect underlying gold price movements without the drag of craftsmanship costs that are typically unrecoverable on physical jewellery.

For investors looking to participate in gold’s potential as a store of value, gold ETFs present a transparent, exchange-traded option worth considering as part of a broader portfolio diversifying approach this Akshay Tritiya.

What should be the path forward?

Probably more immediate concerns linger: Is this even the right time to invest in gold? Will I end up buying gold at high prices? Gold generally goes up in times of market stress, why is it falling this time? Are central banks who were a big support to the gold market turning sides? Where are gold prices headed?

We agree that recent market turbulence has tested the metal’s resolve but the very financial linkages that gold has is the very cause of stress. During periods of geopolitical stress and liquidity strain, amplified by rising oil prices and a strengthening dollar, central banks that had been accumulating gold such as Russia and Turkey either slowed their purchases or became net sellers, using their reserves to bridge funding gaps.

Simultaneously, when broader portfolios come under pressure, gold, known for its liquidity , is often the first holding liquidated to cover losses elsewhere. Pair trading between outperforming and underperforming assets, dollar and gold adds further short-term selling pressure.

But these are transient forces. None of them alter gold’s long-term investment thesis. The structural pillars that underpin gold’s outlook remain firmly in place: sovereign debt and fiscal deficits continue to mount across major economies; central banks will need to maintain an accommodative rate environment to sustain long-term growth and the gradual erosion of the US dollar’s dominance as the world’s reserve currency is an unfolding reality, not a distant hypothesis.

Once the current liquidity pressures ease, central bank’s demand for gold is poised to reassert itself. The geopolitics and resulting war in the Middle East are itself a huge cost and will lead to more defence spending, leading to increasing deficit piling into further higher debt levels, adding to the structural fiscal worries in the developed world. This increases the appeal of assets like gold and hence the need for diversification of reserves and investments may continue.

In that light, the recent pullback from peak levels is not a warning, it is an opportunity. For investors with a long-term horizon, this correction may be viewed as an opportunity to consider within portfolio allocation.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own and not those of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

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